Unconventional thinking about the Middle East.

Wednesday, December 28, 2005

Preliminary Parliamentary Seat Distribution

I’ve been getting similar numbers from a source today; but this is what is being reported in a bunch of Arab and Iraqi newspapers for tomorrow: [Note: results for 16 out of 18 provinces, and this tally also excludes 45 ‘compensatory’ seats].

1-Baghdad:
UIA: 35
Consensus: 11
Allawi: 8
Kurdish: 1
Mutlag: 1
Risaliyoun (Sadrist): 1
Mithal Alusi: 1
Rafidayn (Christian): 1

2-Ninevah (Mosul):
Consensus: 7
Kurdish: 4
UIA: 2
Allawi: 2
Mutlag: 2
Misha’an Jabouri: 1
Yazidis (Kurdish): 1

3-Suleimaniya:
Kurdish: 13
Islamic Kurdish: 2

4-Arbil:
Kurdish: 12
Islamic Kurdish: 1

5-Duhok:
Kurdish: 6
Allawi: 1

6-Dhi Qar (Nassiriya):
UIA: 11
Allawi: 1
Note: there must be something wrong with this number, because Nassiriya only has 9 seats.

7-Babil (Hilla):
UIA: 9
Allawi: 1
Note: Hilla should have 11 seats, not 10.

8-Diyala:
Consensus: 4
UIA: 2
Kurdish: 2
Allawi: 1
Mutlag: 1

9-Anbar:
Consensus: 7
Mutlag: 2

10-Kirkuk:
Kurdish: 5
Consensus: 1
Mutlag: 1
Misha’an Jabouri: 1
Turkuman: 1

11-Salahuddin (Tikrit):
Consensus: 3
Mutlag: 2
UIA: 1
Allawi: 1
Misha’an Jabouri: 1

12-Qadissiya:
UIA: 7
Allawi: 1

13-Najaf:
UIA: 7
Allawi: 1

14-Wasit:
UIA: 7
Allawi: 1

15-Karbala:
UIA: 5
Allawi: 1

16-Muthana:
UIA: 5

Total excluding the 45 ‘compensatory’ seats, and the results for two remaining provinces and Nassiriya (see note above):

UIA: 100
Kurdish: 43
Consensus: 27
Allawi: 19
Mutlag: 8
Misha’an Jabouri: 3
Islamic Kurdish: 3
Mithal Alusi: 1
Turkuman: 1
Rafidayn: 1
Yezidi: 1
Risaliyoun: 1


From the looks of it, Mithal Al-Alusi may have won a seat in Baghdad Province through a fluke in the electoral law! Here he is in today's Washington Post. BTW: the two persons quoted for the story, Wamidh Nadhme and Saleh Mutlag, have publicly sparred with Alusi in the recent past.

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