Unconventional thinking about the Middle East.

Friday, January 20, 2006

Shamelessly Taking Credit for Election Result Scoop

There won’t be too many opportunities to gloat over scoops and the such on this blog, so I’ll make the best out of this one: readers of Talisman Gate would have had a fair idea of Iraq’s election results over a month ago (posted a day after the poll), and these accurate final results six days ago. So next time I mouth-off about the sky falling on our heads—think twice before dismissing me. I’m not saying that you shouldn’t dismiss me, just think twice before you do it. [BTW: what is the financial reward that comes with a Pulitzer, again?]

The Electoral Commission announced these results today for the distribution of parliamentary seats:

UIA: 128
Kurds: 53
Islamist Kurds: 5
Consensus: 44
Misha’an Jabouri: 3
Saleh Al-Mutlag: 11
Ayad Allawi: 25
Risaliyoun: 2
Turkumen: 1
Christians: 1
Yezidis: 1
Mithal Alusi: 1

Talisman Gate on January 14, 2006:

UIA: 128
Kurds: 53
Islamist Kurds: 4 (this is the one I got wrong…)
Consensus: 44
Misha’an Jabouri: 3
Saleh Al-Mutlag: 11
Ayad Allawi: 25
Risaliyoun: 2
Turkumen: 1
Christians: 1
Yezidis: 1
Mithal Alusi: 1

Talisman Gate on December 16, 2005:

UIA: 130 (likely to increase slightly, includes satellite Sadrist lists)
Consensus: 45 (likely to increase slightly)
Kurdish: 55
Allawi: 20 (likely to decrease slightly)
Mutlag: 15 (likely to decrease slightly)

PS: the sky is going to fall on our heads. Don’t say I didn’t warn you!

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