Unconventional thinking about the Middle East.

Monday, February 05, 2007

Intelligent Dissent: Al-Qaeda Plays Lead Role in Sunni Insurgency

Huge scoop by the New York Sun’s Eli Lake today, ‘Spies File A Dissent On Qaeda.’ Here’s an excerpt:

Disputing the view that Al Qaeda plays only a small role in the overall Sunni insurgency in Iraq, four of America's 16 intelligence agencies have obliged the Directorate of National Intelligence to provide a formal dissent to the 90-page classified Iraq assessment issued last week.

Those agencies include the Treasury Department's Office of Intelligence and Analysis, the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, and the military intelligence bureaus of the Army and Marines.

According to two sources familiar with the addendum, the dissenters argue that the Baathist wing of the umbrella Sunni terrorist group has ceded authority to Abu Ayoub al-Masri, the leader of Al Qaeda in Iraq who replaced Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.
The majority view, endorsed by the CIA, the National Security Agency, the State Department, and others, holds that a majority of the Sunni insurgency is still comprised of Baathists and Sunni nationalists.

In some ways, the majority view bolsters the argument that Iraq is not a central front in the war on Al Qaeda, making it politically easier to favor a precipitous withdrawal of American forces from the country. In this respect, it undermines President Bush's own recent arguments for his war strategy.


Anonymous neopersianative said...

Isn't it convenient to site this zionist, Mr. Kazimi? We all know that the heirs of Cyrus have attacked Iran again to spread their fire worship apostasy. Don't make me get my Kufr stick. ;)

7:27 PM, February 05, 2007

Blogger das411 said...

Isn't it amazing how certain newspapers (cough, NYT) will choose to believe the CIA, NSA, et al when it is convenient to them? And it's fascinating how Secretary Rumsfeld was driven out of his job by supposedly refusing to listen to the men on the ground in Iraq and yet when that is exactly what is being done now, nope, move along, nothing to see here...

11:18 PM, February 05, 2007

Blogger Tequila said...

Yes, because das411 and Nibras Kazimi know that 12 out of 16 intel agencies are wrong. Who, after all, could doubt the Treasury Department's analysis of the Iraqi insurgency? Or the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, whose job is to provide maps?

1:32 AM, February 06, 2007

Anonymous Anonymous said...

hey tequila, don't you think that Nibras has made a cogent case that Alqaeda is the major player? Im convinced that it is but am also interested to hear why u aren't?

2:51 PM, February 06, 2007

Anonymous entizen said...

There is a very important point here that is missing. We are talking about the CIA, the national intelligence directorate and the NSA. These people hire the best. They are some of the most loyal americans we have, who have tried to get our policy makers to understand what our experts know: these "terrorists" are responding to legitimate grievances. We are responsible for their actions because we are the source of those grievances. Here is a good way to think about this. The CIA are like foreign policy scientists, the neocons are like foreign policy necromancers. These CIA analysts are the real foreign policy experts must not be stifled by people trying to write about them with imperfect, ideologically biased information. They tried to warn us about Bush's Iraq lies, and they are trying to warn us now about this al Qaeda hype. I for one am listening. This is the real story, and Nibras is part of the problem in this regard.

3:58 AM, February 07, 2007

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