Unconventional thinking about the Middle East.

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Apologies, and a quick note

So I'm finally in a place where I can rest a bit, and have some more time for blogging.

But here's a quick note on all that's happening in Iraq concerning the Provincial Elections Law, the Oil Law, and Kirkuk: the question that everyone should be asking is "Will this political turmoil lead to violence?" and answer is that the potential for increased violence in minimal.

It's politics, folks. Why should Americans involve themselves in the nitty-gritty details of Iraqi politics? It is all being sorted out in heated bargaining and deal-making. Should Iraqis concern themselves with the pork-barreling and congressional re-districting of the U.S. Congress? No, they shouldn't.

The Iraq story is getting boring, and that's a good thing. The 'analysts' and 'experts' who staked their reputations on the idea that Iraq is a failed state are feverishly hoping that the embers of violence would catch fire anew so that a certain presidential candidate may win and they'd get to keep their fake status of self-styled 'expertise'. My own reading of the situation is that is futile to go delving into the ashes of a failed insurgency that hasn't got the wherewithal to burst aflame again.

17 Comments:

Blogger bg said...

++

thanks for op TG..

i love how you state facts.. :)

==

8:11 AM, August 12, 2008

 
Anonymous amagi said...

Nibras,

Most excellent to have you back. I want very much to trust your analysis, and I mean to be taken seriously when I say that you have become the single most credible source of information on Iraqi goings-on I have access to.

At the same time, there is that strain of political thought which suggests that revolutions and the like occur not when a regime is at its most brutal, but rather once change and reform has been promised, but is too slow in coming.

I consistently see reports that the so-called Sons of Iraq now number about 100,000 and are getting the run-around as to how and when they will be "folded in." My understanding of rhetoric out of Kirkuk is that opposing factions are essentially unwilling to sit down with each other, and that they are only being kept in the same room together by US pressure. I know only too well how news sources twist narratives to emphasize gloom and doom, but at the same time (in this instance at least) their pessimistic assessment sounds plausible to me.

I realize I don't have all the facts; but then, that's why I'm here.

The Iraq story isn't getting boring to me at all. Actually, quite the contrary. Watching a democratic nation wrestle itself into existence from the abyss of nihilism and chaos has been an exhilirating experience. I deeply, deeply resent the extent to which the American public seems oblivious to the importance of this event and the ramifications a free Iraq has for the rest of the world. I've been cheering all along, but too often in a vaccuum or alongside people who are, in essence, applauding for the wrong reasons.

In any event, I anxiously await some reliable news, be it good or ill, and have my fingers crossed.

10:20 AM, August 12, 2008

 
Blogger David M said...

The Thunder Run has linked to this post in the - Web Reconnaissance for 08/12/2008 A short recon of what’s out there that might draw your attention, updated throughout the day...so check back often.

11:50 AM, August 12, 2008

 
Blogger Whifferdill said...

Boring politics is very good.

Hats off to you for sharing your knowledge of your country so well that you convinced us we were correct in thinking the war would indeed be won!

Enjoy peace.

11:55 AM, August 12, 2008

 
Anonymous Kafir said...

Nibras,

I'm with Amagi. I still find the unfolding story fascinating. I think it is like watching America develop in the 19th century.

I do believe there's one thing that can make embers burst into flames again, and that's a strong breeze. The whoosh as the Americans stream out of there under a President Obama's plan just might do it.

4:55 PM, August 12, 2008

 
Blogger Mark said...

Amagi's comments are on target. The Bolsheviks liked having a failing, floundering government in place to overthrow.

Thanks for posting again. And I hope you are correct!

7:36 AM, August 13, 2008

 
Anonymous gj said...

Dear Nibras,

Your devoted commenters are not the slightest bit bored with the Iraq story. On the contrary, we thirst for the nitty, gritty details of Iraqi politcs. And you are the only person we get them from!

Please keep us up with the news from the smoke filled rooms.

Imploringly,

gj

2:58 PM, August 13, 2008

 
Blogger Jaguar b. p. said...

The 'analysts' and 'experts' who staked their reputations on the idea that Iraq is a failed state are feverishly hoping that the embers of violence would catch fire anew so that a certain presidential candidate may win

And now that's all been thwarted and McCain will win (not).

3:00 AM, August 16, 2008

 
Anonymous amagi said...

Nibras,

The news is growing worse with each passing day. We have a dismal New York Times article today suggesting that, essentially, the Kurds have no interest in anything but fighting for the province, and AP reporting that Maliki is ordering targeted crackdowns on sahwa members as a prelude to their forced disbanding.

Given the profound inability for these sources to provide accurate information thus far, I am still willing to believe that things are not the way they are being made to appear. If something different is going on, we need to know from you because it certainly isn't getting reported anywhere else.

12:02 PM, August 19, 2008

 
Blogger CK MacLeod said...

McClatchy's also picked up on a looming conflict with disbanded "Sons of Iraq," quoting US officers and Sunni leaders who suggest the possibility of a renewed insurgency, with ex-insurgents rejecting the minimal and demeaning employment opportunities being offered to them.

Made it sound dire (of course), and pointed to November 1 as a deadline. I also came here on the off chance of finding some thoughts on the subject.

11:03 PM, August 20, 2008

 
Blogger Don Cox said...

While we are waiting for Nibras to post again, may I recommend this excellent blog. It is about the Provincial Recovery Teams.

4:42 AM, August 23, 2008

 
Blogger bg said...

++

Don Cox @ 4:42 AM..

thank you.. :)

more here..

also be sure to check out..

MNF

and..

FJI

==

11:09 AM, August 23, 2008

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The controller is the control center of your RC helicopter, it can send different signals to the helicopter telling the RC helicopter what to do next, maybe turning left or turning around. If you go to a large lawn far from super markets to fly your RC helicopter, do not forget to prepare more than 8 batteries, as the controller is not as saving as you think. Eight batteries can work for 2 or 3 hours. If you want to play with it for a longer time, maybe you have to pay more for the batteries. You can do a lot more on aGPS than just play games and movies. The new Streamlight Jr. Xenon Flashlights Reach combines the flexibility of our popular Stylus Reach penlights with the power and durability of our Streamlight Jr. Luxeon to give professionals such as firefighters, automotive and industrial technicians a high-performance, versatile tool, said Brad Penney, president of Streamlight.

1:18 AM, August 28, 2008

 
Blogger J&D said...

情趣用品,情趣用品,飛機杯,自慰套,充氣娃娃,AV女優.按摩棒,跳蛋,潤滑液,角色扮演,情趣內衣
免費視訊聊天,辣妹視訊,視訊交友網,美女視訊,視訊交友,視訊交友90739,成人聊天室,視訊聊天室,視訊聊天,視訊聊天室,情色視訊,情人視訊網,視訊美女
一葉情貼圖片區,免費視訊聊天室,免費視訊,ut聊天室,聊天室,豆豆聊天室,尋夢園聊天室,聊天室尋夢園,影音視訊聊天室,

辣妹視訊,美女視訊,視訊交友網,視訊聊天室,視訊交友,視訊美女,免費視訊,免費視訊聊天,視訊交友90739,免費視訊聊天室,成人聊天室,視訊聊天,視訊交友aooyy
哈啦聊天室,辣妺視訊,A片,色情A片,視訊,080視訊聊天室,視訊美女34c,視訊情人高雄網,視訊交友高雄網,0204貼圖區,sex520免費影片,情色貼圖,視訊ukiss
A片下載,成人影片下載,免費A片下載,日本A片
影音視訊聊天室

7:55 PM, April 28, 2009

 
Blogger 酒店上班請找艾葳 said...

艾葳酒店經紀公司提供專業的酒店經紀, 飯局小姐,領檯人員,領台,傳播妹,或者想要到台北酒店林森北路酒店,私人招待所,或者八大行業酒店PT,酒店公關,酒店兼職,想去酒店上班, 日式酒店,制服酒店,ktv酒店,禮服店,整天穿得水水漂漂的禮服酒店,鋼琴酒吧酒店領檯,酒店小姐,公關小姐??,還是想去制服店上班小姐,水水們如果想要擁有打工工作、晚上兼差工作兼差打工假日兼職兼職工作學生兼差兼差打工兼差日領工作晚上兼差工作酒店工作酒店上班酒店打工兼職兼差兼差工作酒店上班等,想了解酒店相關工作特種行業內容,想找打工假日兼職兼差打工、或晚班兼職想擁有快速賺錢又有保障的工作嗎???又可以現領請找專業又有保障的艾葳酒店經紀公司!

艾葳酒店經紀是合法的公司工作環境高雅時尚,無業績壓力,無脫秀無喝酒壓力,高層次會員制客源,工作輕鬆,可日領現領
一般的酒店經紀只會在水水們第一次上班和領薪水時出現而已,對水水們的上班安全一點保障都沒有!艾葳酒店經紀公司的水水們上班時全程媽咪作陪,不需擔心!只提供最優質的酒店打工,酒店上班,酒店打工環境、上班條件給水水們。心動嗎!? 趕快來填寫你的酒店上班履歷表

水水們妳有缺現金、有卡債缺錢卡奴的煩腦嗎?想到日本留學日本打工嗎?妳是工讀生找工作??想要擁有高時薪又輕鬆的夜間兼職工作,打工機會和,假日打工,兼職工作日領假日打工的機會嗎??想實現夢想卻又缺錢沒錢嗎!??整天還在煩腦如何賺錢有什麼賺錢方法,和賺錢最快方法!?,想要打工,日領工作,短期打工,兼差工作,打工兼差工作嗎!?,
請加入我們艾葳酒店經紀公司工作單純輕鬆”高時薪”又可日領徵想要當傳播妹,上班小姐,酒店兼差,酒店兼職,歡迎學生打工,!!!
加入我們實現夢想就從現在開始^__^

12:53 AM, August 31, 2009

 
Blogger hxl880 said...

tn requin

chaussures tn

chaussure requin


wall stickers

kids bedding

wedding jewelry

wedding cake

beaded lanyard

unlocked cell phones

handheld gps

travel guide

car seat cover

sexual health

wholesale lots


air max
air 90
air 95

11:46 PM, July 21, 2010

 
Blogger Fangyaya said...

nike air max 90
fitflops sale clearance
juicy couture
coach outlet online
coach outlet store online clearances
michael kors outlet
asics shoes
ralph lauren
louis vuitton handbags
oakley vault
cheap ray ban sunglasses
louis vuitton bags
michael kors handbags
true religion outlet
louis vuitton outlet
jordan 8s
louis vuitton handbags
toms
nike outlet store
cheap jordan shoes
jordans
louis vuitton handbags
fake watches
michael kors outlet online
coach factory outlet
hollister clothing
supra shoes
air jordan retro
nike air huarache
nike sb shoes
kate spade handbags
toms wedges
true religion
kevin durant shoes
louis vuitton
toms outlet
louis vuitton outlet
michael kors outlet
cheap oakley sunglasses
20167.25chenjinyan

1:33 AM, July 25, 2016

 

Post a Comment

<< Home