Unconventional thinking about the Middle East.

Friday, October 31, 2008

Iraqis for McCain

Perhaps no other country in the world sees itself as directly affected by Tuesday’s outcome as much as Iraq.

If any case could be made that non-Americans should be allowed to vote for either Obama or McCain, then Iraqis would get the first go. So it is reassuring that most Iraqis seem to be supporting McCain, according to this AFP report.

Clearly, Iraqis are not that swayed by the Arab/Muslim/internationalist meme that “Obama is one of us.” Talk of Obama’s historic presidency as America’s first black president is not for them, although I was heartened to hear that a group of African-Iraqis in Basra were emboldened enough by the Obama phenomenon to form an anti-racism political advocacy group (…yes, the Middle East is rife with blatant and socially-acceptable racism against black people).

History can be made on someone else’s time, not when there’s a crises afoot; Iraqis need to be vigilant and practical in their choice, and that explains their support for McCain. Who will be a better president for them? Who will help them defeat the terrorists, curb Iran and stabilize the region?

The clear answer is McCain. I’m glad that most of my countrymen can separate facts from rhetoric. It is a sign of a healthy sense of political awareness.

Somebody told me a related story just yesterday: An Iraqi man and his family arrived in the United States as refugees on Wednesday. He’s a doctor (Shia married to a Sunni, I think) who had been abducted by the Mahdi Army, and then ransomed by his family. They had been living for the last two years in Damascus, fearing a return to Iraq. The family has been resettled in a nice, small house with a big yard in a working class American suburb. They found everything ready: furniture, some groceries and one-month’s rent paid up front. So far so good, but the doctor felt that something was missing. Do you know what his first request was? A McCain-Palin lawn sign.

Maybe he’ll get to vote for a ticket featuring Palin in 2016, after he gets his U.S. citizenship.


Only 8 U.S. soldiers died this past month in combat-related incidents. Compare this number what was going on last year, when the violence began to drop off:

September 2007: 50 U.S. combat deaths (22 others died from non-combat incidents such as vehicle collisions)

October 2007: 32 U.S. combat deaths (8 others died from non-combat incidents)

It should go without saying that any and every unnecessary death, whether American or Iraqi, is deeply painful. But let's take a look at the larger picture here. This same time last year, I was remarking that monthly casualty rates were approaching pre-insurgency levels.

But this month's tally marks the lowest casualty rate on record since the war began in April 2003. Will this be a major headline tomorrow? Shouldn't this little piece of information factor into the decision of America's voters on Tuesday? Who made this piece of good news more possible, Obama or McCain? Or will the media find a way to spin it off as bad news?


Anonymous Anonymous said...

Don't believe the polls. Here is a poll that was announced today in which Obama is only up by one point in the toss-up states:-


Obama can't break away above the 50% mark and McCain has the advantage of momentum. It seems that McCain will pull off the greatest comeback in the history of American politics.

12:12 PM, October 31, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...

Is that a sarcastic remark about Palin in 2016, or is this really someone that you could support? Please tell me you're smarter than that. Surely you can find a better candidate than Sarah Palin. I know she's got an expert's grasp on the issues facing Iraq, but c'mon.... You're so critical of the Iraq "experts" in Washington, yet you'd be willing to support someone for President of the United States who has absolutely no clue what's going on over there?

Besides your anecdotal information and your personal views, have there been any polls done in Iraq about Obama and McCain? Perhaps a stupid question and who knows how accurate they would be, but just trying to wrap my head around what you've said about Iraqis and McCain. I find it hard to believe that as a whole, Iraqis are looking for someone who is committed to a long-term presence in Iraq. I'd be willing to bet, at the very least, that many are intrigued enough by Obama to support him.

2:26 PM, October 31, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...

What do you think of Nazar Janabi as an Iraq expert?

2:27 PM, October 31, 2008

Blogger Nibras Kazimi نبراس الكاظمي said...

Yes. I do support Sarah Palin. And I support her more every time someone badmouths her.

She has the fighting spirit that would get your country, and the rest of the world, through hardships.

The caricature that the media has created of her is not convincing. I watched the VP debate, and I was sold on her intellect, strength and potential for leadership.

An American leader doesn't need to recollect the names of villages in the vicinity of Baquba to gain my confidence, all I want from said leaders is the ability to tell right from wrong. To use common sense when the old ways of doing things consistently fail.

If you feel intellectualy superior to her, then I advize you to run for the governorship of a state, any state, and let's see how far you get.

And she's made me appreciate another America out there that doesn't seem to have much of voice among the decision makers and trend setters. And you know what, I kinda like the values of that other America. Simple, wholesome values that a place like DC, a place that's lost its bearings, sorely needs.

Can't say the same about Obama.

As for Nazar al-Janabi, I have a standing policy: I always support young, successful Iraqis as they make it in this world. I may disagree with them, but I'm rooting for them nonetheless as they develop a reputation for themselves and attain stature. I will always concede a fight to another Iraqi, since it means that an Iraqi eventually won.

That is also part of the reason that I beat up on people like you ;)



2:48 PM, October 31, 2008

Blogger Nibras Kazimi نبراس الكاظمي said...

Oh, you didn't seem to have clicked on the AFP link, did you?

"I find it hard to believe that as a whole, Iraqis are looking for someone who is committed to a long-term presence in Iraq. I'd be willing to bet, at the very least, that many are intrigued enough by Obama to support him."

That's your own failing, bud. I've told you before that I find your line of reasoning to be simplistic and self-righteous.

If Obama is elected, I suggest you spend a year around the Middle East wearing an American flag-pin and an Obama button. I think you'll find the experience very revealing. However, I take no responsibility should anything happen to you. In that unfortunate case, take it up with Nicholas Kristof of the New York Times and the liberal pro-Obama 'experts' at your university, not me.



2:55 PM, October 31, 2008

Anonymous Anonymous said...

More evidence of pro-Obama media bias:-


6:09 PM, October 31, 2008

Blogger Jaguar b. p. said...

It seems that McCain will pull off the greatest comeback in the history of American politics.

Yes, that appears to be the most likely outcome now, apart from him losing.

It's difficult to imagine that someone who was kept in a box in Vietnam and pissed on for 6 years
would turn out to be some kind of loser

10:51 PM, October 31, 2008

Anonymous CMAR II said...

[jaguar] "It's difficult to imagine that someone who was kept in a box in Vietnam and pissed on for 6 years
would turn out to be some kind of loser"

Although, I've always considered McCain a horrendous candidate (who happened to look good on paper), and a week ago I was prepared to dig in and accept the inevitability of Pres. Messiah...now I don't know. I think it will all come down to turn-out.

What's dangerous about this election, I think, is that Obama's supporters have not braced themselves for the possibility that they could lose.

12:57 AM, November 01, 2008

Blogger Abbas Hawazin said...

The AFP story you so glowingly referred to has nothing to show for its horrendously misleading title except this: two Iraqi civillians who support McCain. Some damning evidence that is, I don't really think most common Iraqis really care, to them US presidents all look alike. Good luck with yer propaganda.

8:49 AM, November 01, 2008

Blogger bg said...


TG @ 2:48 PM



1:41 PM, November 01, 2008

Blogger Mark E. said...

I am STUNNED that the press is ignoring lower casualties in Iraq....oh wait, no I'm not. Miserable vermin....

4:14 PM, November 01, 2008

Anonymous Kafir said...

Hey Crude, give me one complaint against Palin that can't also be applied to Obama.

For example:

SP does not have a firm grasp on foreign affairs.

BO does not have the slightest clue as to how capitalism functions.

5:02 AM, November 02, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...

The AFP story is meaningless. Who cares about Ali and Mohammed. The "professor" and the "expert on the Sumerian era" create a quick anecdote, but it has no other substance to it which would lead me to actually believe the headline: "US election: If Iraqis could vote it would be for McCain".

Nibras, I know you often speak out against how Washington operates and you enjoy pretending that you understand America's "common man," but I highly doubt that you have had much experience living in this "other America" or even speaking to people that live there. You may have an image in your head similar to Joe the Plumber, but how much time have you ever spent living in the other America--the small town, conservative America with "wholesome" values.

I'm not even going to argue with you about Palin. It's just rather shocking to me that you'd support such a dimwit. Perhaps it's just your way of taking the unpopular and devil's advocate view. But after her 15 minutes of fame are up, you will soon forget about her and so will the rest of America. McCain supporters will finally be free from being forced to wholeheartedly support her. A difficult thing to do, in my opinion.

3:14 PM, November 02, 2008

Anonymous Kafir said...

I knew he wouldn't go for it.

3:27 PM, November 02, 2008

Anonymous Anonymous said...

the elitist snobs called, they need their village idiot back

hateful moron....

5:44 PM, November 02, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...


why must you always resort to name-calling? i don't think i've ever demonstrated "hate" on this blog or on my own, let alone tendencies of a "hateful moron." we may disagree on politics, but you would prefer to call me various names, rather than debate an actual issue or point. if anyone has demonstrated hate in these comment sections, it's definitely been yourself. and by the way, good luck on tuesday. you'll be needing it.

-crude analysis

6:41 PM, November 02, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...

It doesn't matter what any of you write or think. Barack Obama is going to be the next President of the United States. No more McCain and thank god, no more Palin. I really can't put into words how shocking it is that intelligent people can actually support that woman. She makes us all dumber. It's time for her to go.


7:04 PM, November 02, 2008

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Mr. Crud:- There is one thing for sure that you can live with for the rest of your life: Governor Sarah Palin has accomplished more in her life than you ever will. You will never amount to be a mayor or governor or contendor for the highest office. I want you to remember this little fact throughout your life. I want you to remember what you thought of her intellect and then to reflect on your own and what your failure to attain her stature says about you.
Obama may win on Tuesday. But in some ways I will find greater comfort if Obama loses to Palin in a 2012 rematch. Imagine how humiliated he will be.
Isn't that right? I will follow your career and I will periodically send you emails to remind you that you are still a failure.

7:49 PM, November 02, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...

First, I don't think being elected into office for a major position is the only way one can succeed. I have higher aspirations and they don't include being elected to office. And remind me again what great success you have been in your life? (Not including sucking up to Nibras and fighting off all liberal intruders in this comment section).

With Palin, it's not simply that I'm doubting her intellect and trying to say that I'm so much more intelligent than her. It's the fact that I expect more in my Vice President and President. I expect them to be much smarter than I and others around me, among a variety of other reasons.

Palin was the mayor of a small town and then became the governor of Alaska, which shouldn't even be considered a state. I will never know why John McCain chose her. In some respects, it sounded like a great idea. But in the end, she made people question his judgment and soon became a national joke to many. In the past couple weeks, there seems to be proof in the numbers that she is hurting his already faltering campaign. Just look at the various polls, which you have often pushed upon me in the past.

This whole Palin in 2012/2016 thing is a joke. Not long after the election, many key Republicans will be able to say what they haven't been able to say over the past couple months about Palin. They will be quick to throw her under the bus, and it'll be amusing to watch. And you seriously think she could handle running a national campaign with her in the drivers seat? Yeah, ok. She's done bad enough being shielded away for the past couple months. What would she do when she can't hide?

Every time a "promising" candidate loses, everyone expects them to make a return in four years. Al Gore didn't come back for more in 2004. John Kerry didn't give it another shot in 2008. John Edwards tried and failed. They're soon forgotten about and others quickly replace them. If you don't think Sarah Palin is replaceable, then I'm not sure what to think. There are many more qualified and talented individuals who you could support for President in 2012, and you choose Sarah Palin?!? This seriously makes me question the credibility of anything you or Nibras ever say in the future. Sarah Palin?? Are you kidding me?!

8:32 PM, November 02, 2008

Blogger Nibras Kazimi نبراس الكاظمي said...

Dear "crude analysis",

I can't help reading your comments, and your blog, and not coming away with the impression that you, yourself, are dimwitted. I've told you this before, and I feel compelled to repeat to you again.

You chose to look at 5 minutes of Palin's life with Katy Couric rather than a lifetime of principled achievement. I thought Sarah Palin held her ground, and then some, in the debate with Joe Biden, who was having the best debating performance of his career. But that counts for nothing for you. You've got your talking points and you are running with it. Atta boy!

When all else fails, attack Alaska for being Alaska. Yeah, that makes perfect sense.

If anything, Biden (...I thought Delaware was the name of a famous toll booth) was supposed to provide gravitas and bearing to the young, green-behind-the-ears Obama, but ended being an embarassment to the campaign. That's why they are keeping him on a tight leash, and the leash will tighten further if they both make it to the White House.

But I guess the most important thing I learnt in the last couple of months was this: black men got the right to vote 50 years before women did in the United States.

That says plenty about how women are perceived in your country.

If your candidate wins tomorrow, then good for you. I'm sure you'll get some government job as somebody's flunkie, somewhere in the bowels of bureaucracy. But you can rest assured that this blog will remain vigilant in watching your candidate's slip ups, and I'm guessing that Obama is going to give Talisman Gate with plenty of material.

Let the unraveling of the Obama myth begin.



6:38 AM, November 03, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...


You're trying to say that I chose to look at 5 minutes of Palin's life with Katie Couric and missed her lifetime of "principled achievement." But every time you commend her or argue in support of her, the only thing you ever seem to mention is her debate performance against Joe Biden. She held her ground after having extremely low expectations... does that mean she should be vice president? Does that mean she should be a future president? She had her talking points and memorized lines and nothing more. I'm sorry that her winks and sassy-ness got you excited inside. Sarah Palin has done little in her life to deserve a spot at the White House. She's a good looking woman and maybe it helps you feel like you aren't sexist by supporting her, I don't know. (Just like you think I'm trying to prove I'm not racist by supporting Obama). Obama will win tomorrow and I do expect you to remain vigilant in your watching of his slip ups. And once this election is over, I will also be able to see and admit more things wrong with Obama than I currently do now.

And thanks for the compliment on the blog. I really appreciate it.

-Crude Analysis

7:16 AM, November 03, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...

And how can you people even stand to hear Palin speak anymore? She's the most annoying bitch alive.

-Crude Analysis

7:18 AM, November 03, 2008

Blogger Nibras Kazimi نبراس الكاظمي said...

"bitch" ....?

Listen you little twerp: you don't even have the guts to come out of hiding. I've tried to engage with you, but this is where I draw the line. You are clearly a maladjusted dweeb. Maybe you're too daft to understand it, but using the word "bitch" in this context is akin to using "nigger" to describe Obama.

I want you to take that last line of yours and run it by your mother, your sister, and your significant other (if female). And then I want you to shove it.

Whoever claimed that they know who "crude analysis" is, then go ahead and reveal his name. I had asked you not to, but let's call a spade a spade.



8:43 AM, November 03, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...

All this because I called Sarah Palin a "bitch"? She is a bitch. And I'll stand by that. Perhaps me and you use this phrase differently, but I wouldn't compare it to calling Obama a "nigger," you racist fuck. But you can call him that, I don't really care. If you can't comprehend what I mean by the phrase I used, then I'm not going to explain it.

Oh I can't wait until "anonymous" eats this opportunity up. This is his chance to finally swallow what he's been stroking for so long.

Stop being so sensitive, Nibras. I know this makes you feel good about yourself, by defending the girl. But relax. I've been called worse than a bitch on your blog comment section.

9:10 AM, November 03, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...

And I'm pretty sure that I've called her that before on your blog. I wasn't called out then because she must not have had that debate performance that quickly got your cherries popping for some Sarah Palin action.

9:12 AM, November 03, 2008

Blogger bg said...


crude analysis



9:14 AM, November 03, 2008

Blogger michaelball said...

Crude Analysis,

I have been reading your comments on this blog for a while now and they suggest a very limited grasp of logic and decency. I'm sure that you are otherwise a much more thoughful person. Please stop humiliating yourself.

3:40 PM, November 03, 2008

Anonymous Kafir said...

Palin was the mayor of a small town and then became the governor of Alaska, which shouldn't even be considered a state.

The breathtaking arrogance of that statement right there tells me everything I need to know about you. You think you're better than other people. You're an elitist. Need more proof? How about this jewel:

I expect them [Vice President and President] to be much smarter than I [sic] and others around me...

You know, there are places you can go where you'll be ruled by the elite. Here, let me list them out for you: Cuba, Vietnam, China, Venezuela....

5:52 PM, November 03, 2008

Anonymous Anonymous said...

I thought this sentence was very revealing:

"Perhaps me and you use this phrase differently, but I wouldn't compare it to calling Obama a "nigger," you racist fuck."

Crude Analysis either deliberately or obtusely misrepresents the point Nibras was making. He wasn't calling Obama anything, he was merely comparing the hateful sexism which Crude so courageously stands by to similarly hateful and prejudicial statements.

9:53 AM, November 04, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...


I believe you (or perhaps another anonymous) and Nibras have both accused me in the past of supporting Obama to prove that I'm not racist. My support for Obama has nothing to do with race. To question this principle, to me, is evidence of your own racist tendencies. Nibras tries to play the fear factor in claiming Obama is an Arab and this or that, when ultimately, Obama's skin color bothers him. From my own experiences, Arabs are known to be a little racist. And of course, with anything, I'm not allowed to discuss anything authoritatively, on this blog or on my own, because I'm not this, that, or the other. I'm not an Arab. I'm too young. I'm too stupid. I've never overthrown a dictator. My experiences are limited. Ok, whatever.

10:10 AM, November 04, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...


I'm still curious as to why you aren't in Iraq right now. I've asked you several times and you can only think of sarcastic remarks in response. Is it not as safe as you like to proclaim? Was real life in Iraq a little more difficult than sitting behind a computer? Did everyone finally come to realize that you and your cronies were frauds? What happened, Nibras? And if you posted on it in the past, please share that with me. I've read random postings, but I don't have time to go through endless pages of this hate-filled propaganda just to find your story.

10:15 AM, November 04, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...

And Nibras, try responding this time without calling me more than 10 different names to make yourself feel better about yourself. If you insist on doing it (since it makes your argument so much stronger), then please limit it to one or two names.

10:30 AM, November 04, 2008

Blogger bg said...


crude analysis of crude analysis @ 10:15 AM


not fair!!


i can dish it out!!


but i can't take it!!


you meany you!!


i'll get you!!




10:34 AM, November 04, 2008

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Nibras:- I sent you an e-mail with the name and specifics of "crude analysis". It says REGARDING CRUDE ANALYSIS in the subject space. Do not reveal my name or e-mail. I explain how I discovered his identity. If you want to out him then that is a decision for you to make. In case you don't then I would like everyone to know that "crude analysis" is a grad student who works for one of the people that Nibras keeps mocking. One more thing Nibras:- you can actually expose him to the university board and he might get expelled. Academic institutions are very careful about being PC. You have to decide how far you want to take this.

10:53 AM, November 04, 2008

Blogger Nibras Kazimi نبراس الكاظمي said...

Hi "anon",

I sent you a reply but since you posted this here too, I want to tell everyone what I told you: upon thinking about it, I'm not going to reveal his name. I also wrote to you to confirm why I think he is indeed who you identified, so let me tell everyone that I think "anon" did in fact get it right. But here's how I see it: he is misguided (...especially with that 'expert' as his 'rabbi') and excitable. I don't think that it is simply a matter of age, I think that he's just limited and mediocre. If his candidate loses tonight then he will be in shock for a while, and if his candidate wins then he will have a rough four years ahead of him trying to live down the mistake. So in a way, the world will find a way to punish him; I don't need to add to the bad karma out there.

Dear "crude analysis",

I tried to give you some attention, but you abused it. You are welcome to yelp as loud as you can here on this comments section, but I'll keep doing my thing.



3:57 PM, November 04, 2008

Anonymous crude analysis said...

I think it's quite ironic that a person by the name of "anonymous" is so set on revealing the true face of "crude analysis." These are quite drastic measures you're talking about, anonymous. You would like me to be expelled from school, fired from my job, and thrown into jail? Regardless of this nonsense, I'm glad that Nibras has decided against taking this any further, which is clearly unnecessary.

However, I will do my part to tone down some of my rhetoric. I decided I would wait a bit to respond and I'm glad that I did. At first, I thought about writing an angry knee-jerk reaction to this entire ordeal. Then I thought about completely cutting myself off from this blog and never commenting again. But after a more sober analysis and thinking about all of this, I will try my best to engage constructively in the future. It will be more beneficial to me and to others. And it is my hope that any comment I do make in the future has a constructive and substantive point and isn't just liberal nonsense. Anonymous is often looking for a fight and is difficult to deal with, but I will try my best. Nibras, I wouldn't expect you to stop doing your thing. And I would never expect you to take it easy on me. You can always decide to ignore me, but we'll see what happens.

Best Regards,
Crude Analysis

10:26 AM, November 07, 2008

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