Unconventional thinking about the Middle East.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Al-Waili on al-Baghdadi (Updated)

Shirwan al-Waili, Iraq’s State Minister for National Security and Maliki ally (…and potential replacement), fills in Al-Hayat Newspaper (London, Saudi-owned) today on some alleged biographical details concerning Abu Omar al-Baghdadi, or at the least the man the Iraqi authorities believe is al-Baghdadi.

First, the man’s name is Ma’ad Ibrahim Muhammad, according to al-Waili, and not Ahmad ‘Abid Ahmad Khamees al-Majma’i as first revealed by Iraqi government officials.

Al-Waili claims that Mr. Muhammad was a former staff colonel in the Iraqi Republican Guard until 1990, and was sentenced to be executed for membership in a Salafist Jihadist organization. His sentence was later commuted to expulsion from the army. He then left Iraq to Syria in 1991, bouncing around in places like Algeria and Morocco, and finally returning to Iraq in 2004 to join the Abu Musa’ab al-Zarqawi outfit.

However, three things stood out for me in al-Waili’s account:

1-The account is too Kirkuk-centric: “The pledge of allegiance was declared in all the mosques of al-Adheim.” Then, the associates of Mr. Muhammad named by al-Waili are all part of a Kirkuk-based network.

2-Mr. Muhammad was arrested by U.S. troops in 2007 and held at Camp Bucca for one and a half years, according to al-Waili. But that timeline conflicts with the frequency of al-Baghdadi’s speeches. One thing that is noticeable about the speeches is that they were all done with the same voice and the same manner of speaking. When jihadist speeches are given by others apart from the person the speech is attributed to, then that is usually mentioned. In al-Baghdadi’s case, the assertion was always this was him speaking.

First speech: December 22, 2006

Second speech: February 2, 2007

Third speech: March 14, 2007

Fourth speech: April 16, 2007

Fifth speech: July 9, 2007

Sixth speech: September 15, 2007

Seventh speech: (don’t have the date)

Eighth speech: December 28, 2007

Ninth speech: February 14, 2008

Tenth speech: April 13, 2008

We’ve heard from al-Baghdadi a total of 16 times by my count, the latest speech being his fifteenth on March 17, 2009. For al-Waili’s narrative to fit the timeline, it would have to mean that al-Baghdadi was recording his speeches while in U.S. custody, which entails large and unnecessary security risks that the jihadists wouldn’t undertake.

3-Al-Waili claims that after Mr. Muhammad’s release from Bucca, he was rearrested by the 19th Battalion based in Al-Adheim, and he was later released after the jihadists managed to bribe the commander. However, the name “Ma’ad Ibrahim Muhammad” appears on a list of detainees in Diyala Province who were beneficiaries of the Amnesty Law (enacted in February 2008), so it means that a man by that name was held in Diyala (Adheim lies between Diyala and Kirkuk) under Iraqi custody and released, according to this list (he’s number 196) issued by the Diyala Federal Appeals Court sometime around February 2009.

It is very likely that the man on the list is the same one being referred to by al-Waili.

I have a sense that something is still a bit off in this account. To me, this sound a lot like the arrest of a local Islamic State of Iraq emir in the Adheim area, rather than the big guy, al-Baghdadi, himself.

To date, there has been no official confirmation or refutation of the arrest by the official media channels of the Islamic State of Iraq.

I’d still wait to see how this spectacle pans out before celebrating or getting dejected.

UPDATE: The Al-Faloja jihadist website is claiming that it will have a new speech (as an audio file) from Abu Omar al-Baghdadi up in a few hours under the title 'Lying Agents' sourced to Al-Furqan Media Production, one of the Islamic State of Iraq's official propaganda arms. The ISI's Ministry of Information has also put out a press release today denying al-Baghdadi's arrest, and claiming that they do not know the man in the photo released by the Iraqi government.

6 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

In al-Furqan media's last IED release from 3 days ago it featured him speaking and in big letters said Hafidahu Allah, not Fakka Allahu Asrah.

12:14 PM, May 11, 2009

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

the north facethe north face
north face jacketnorth face jacket
north face jacketsnorth face jackets
north facenorth face
north face outletnorth face outlet
North Face Mens JacketsNorth Face Mens Jackets
pandora pandora
pandora bracelets pandora bracelets
pandora charms pandora charms
Pandora BanglePandora Bangle
pandora charms braceletspandora charms bracelets
charm bracelets pandoracharm bracelets pandora
pandora bracelets ukpandora bracelets uk
links bracelet links bracelet
links london bracelet links london bracelet
links london charms links london charms
links charms links charms
charm bracelets charm bracelets
links bracelet sweetie links bracelet sweetie
charm links bracelet charm links bracelet
sweetie bracelet sweetie bracelet
links of london links of london
links london links london
ugg boots ugg boots
As Seen On TV As Seen On TV
Video Game AccessoriesVideo Game Accessories
Laptop Batteries Laptop Batteries
ed hardy clothing ed hardy clothing
Abercrombie And Fitch Abercrombie And Fitch
tiffany jewellery tiffany jewellery

1:26 AM, April 15, 2010

 
Anonymous nike shox said...

(Had she waited until nike shox about 6 p.m. Jordan Basketball Shoes, she could have been the recipient of 42 of the biggest baby Michael Jordan Shoes in the nike air max 90 of baby nike dunk shoes. Heck, Joe Gibbs Racing might have even bought her a winter nike air max in the jordan shoes. Instead, she'll have to settle for the standard baby nike sb dunks and rattles as the mid-week birth means that Johnson won't miss any seat time at Chicagoland this weekend.) .. Buy cheap Jordan 1 shoes here! We sell Jordan 2 online. Do you like Jordan 3 shoes? This is a Jordan 4 shoes ! Get your Jordan 5 now! Cheap Jordan 6 for sale! Buy Jordan 7 on line! Who have Jordan 8 ~~? I love Jordan 9 shopping! Here my Jordan 10? Are your Jordan 11 here? Cheapest Jordan 12 store! Buy this Jordan 13 now. Discount Jordan 14 for sale! Buy my Jordan 15 now. My friend's Jordan 16 here! A pair of Jordan 17 shoes there! I lost Jordan 18 tomorrow! I picked your Jordan 19 shoes. Do you find Jordan 20? Here my Jordan 21 shoes! They sell Jordan 22 there! Buy Nike Shox NZ from USA. Buy discount Nike Shox OZ in UK? Wow , look Nike Shox R4 !I love Nike Shox R5 so much! I can wear Nike Shox TL3 everday! Can I keep Nike Shox R3 today?

12:26 AM, July 09, 2010

 
Blogger Half X said...

You can buy a vybnhkg set of ideal Oakley Frogskins along with top quality as well as practical expenses through glasses on the internet store very easily. In order to buy a set of Oakley Frogskin, a person skilled far better click on Cheap Oakley Sunglasses to pick your own preferred as well as perfect structures. The actual big street shops are full of exactly what design government bodies possess named the actual 12 months associated with seventies style and design reinvention along with a volume of trendy Oakley Jawbone also have transported inside the seventies style. A few 1 states it will likely be the actual lemon Oakley Jawbones.

1:50 AM, August 01, 2011

 
Blogger Half X said...

You will receive vbghtyfc your prescription Oakley Frogskins in two weeks after you made the order. It is Oakley Frogskin safety for you to make a pair of Cheap Oakley Sunglasses at online Oakley Jawbone store. Enjoy your happiness life with a pair of prescription Oakley Jawbones. Wearing a pair of prescription Oakley sunglasses, your life will be changeable and colorful. There are widely ranges of Oakley sunglasses for you to choose. As we all known that buy a pair of Oakley sunglasses at local Oakley sunglasses store are very expensive.

3:23 AM, August 05, 2011

 
Anonymous Generic Viagra said...

This is what i LIKE th current information in order to increase my knowledge, this is good because I know that there are a lot people who didn't know about it.

7:44 AM, November 23, 2011

 

Post a Comment

<< Home