Unconventional thinking about the Middle East.

Thursday, August 06, 2009

The 'New' United Iraqi Alliance, and Bolani for PM

My new piece for Hudson NY today deals with the persistent delays in announcing the 'new' UIA, and why some are pushing for Jawad al-Bolani to be Maliki's replacement.

Excerpt:
These delays cannot be chalked up solely to finding the most auspicious and PR-friendly date possible; these delays mask a failure by the chief architects of the new UIA to sign on Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki. They know fully well that without Maliki, the UIA would be a desperate stunt by washed-up parties that have been battered at the ballot box, and continue to sink at the polls.

For now, UIA sources are putting up a brave face, “Everything is fine, Maliki is on board.” But they must have been a little rattled when Ali al-Adeeb, the most enthusiastic supporter for a resurrected UIA within the Maliki camp, was quoted a couple of days ago as saying to an Iraqi news agency that “It is a matter of who joins who,” that is, does Maliki join the UIA or does the UIA fold under the wing and leadership of Maliki, the latter an impossible prospect for the inflated egos of the UIA’s key players.

It is at such times that one must tune into Baghdad’s rumor mills. Rumors may not be true, yet they do reflect a state of mind and may influence the multiple showdowns of political brinkmanship accompanying the negotiations for a new alliance. One particular rumor must sound upsetting to Maliki: the consensus candidate for the prime minister’s job after the election is the current Minister of Interior, Jawad al-Bolani. According to the rumor mongers, most of the components of the UIA—spooked as they are by Maliki’s rising fortunes—as well as the Kurds and the two dominant Sunni camps, the Islamists and the neo-Ba’athists, want any credible alternative to Maliki to be agreed upon before going further, and that candidate is Mr. Bolani. In other words, the UIA is a trap for Maliki so that his adversaries can tether him down and replace him with another.
Continue reading...

9 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

You mention ther various influences in Iraq in this article. WHat about the influence of the rich individuals? You previously mentioned Stuart Bowen, the GI for the USA in Iraq - and his praise of Namir Akabi. Don't forget the fluff piece by CNN Jane Arraf in which Akabi is si highly praised. You mentioned Akabi as a surprise influence in Iraq - his family lives in Amman and he spends lots of time with friends there - often visiting the Royal Hotel (headed by one of the Auchi family). Akabi has an ALMCO office there.

Rabadi, a JOrdanian Employee of ALMCO in Iraq, was alleged by Akabi to have met and given money to terrorists - this resulted in Rabadi's arrest and imprisonment for several weeks as a terrorist. Finally the government threw out the charges but, in stead of freeing Rabadi, he was sent to Taji prison on charges of fraud/forgery, which were alleged by Marwan Mahmoud Yasin, Akabi financial head. THat charge has not been resolved in the past 6 months - in spite of an iinvestigative report by the Union of Accountants which exonerates Rabadi. The case is continuously transferred. These delays seem to fit into some words by Yasin that Akabi wanted Rabadi to implicate some Americans who led the TIFR or DIFR project in Taji in 2008. Could Akabi havve that much influence? Why are the Americans silent when they have been informed? Why are sudges hesitating to release Rabadi? Is akabi in the Chalabi camp? Did Calabi assign the water projects to Akabi as head of the ministry there? Please let usknow your informed thoughts. Thanks. Anonymous

11:03 PM, August 25, 2009

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Rabadi is still held in Iraq - still pending complete trial/hearing. Copies of alleged letter of March 4, 2009, of Akabi to police stating he had discovered that Rabadi was said to have given money to a terrorist exist - this is why Rabadi was arrested and held as terrorist for almost a month until the charge was thrown out. Then Yasin took his turn with allegations of fraud and forgery - which were dismissed by both a court appointed expert from Accountants Union and a handwriting expert. Strangely Rabadi's heaqring/trial has been delayed somany times that it is11 months since his unjust arrest. WHy the dleays? Justice?????

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