I've been in Baghdad for a couple of weeks now, with a brief sojourn to Basra, and I can report that no one has the faintest idea of how the political situation is going to play itself out.
In a week's time, five months would have passed since the election.
It's summer. It is hot. Very hot. And there's less electricity than last summer. As one can imagine, that fact that it is hot (...50-55 C, 122-131 F), and that there is little electricity to alleviate the heat, eats up at least 20 percent of any conversation.