Unconventional thinking about the Middle East.

Wednesday, December 01, 2010

The Islamic State of Iraq's New Caliph

For those still following the news of the Islamic State of Iraq: a recent detainee (Hazim Abdel-Razzak al-Zawi, self-styled 'Minister of Security' in the ISI, cousin of former ISI leader Abu Omar al-Baghdadi) who was arrested in Anbar ten days ago has revealed to Iraqi security services the real identities of the current leadership of the ISI, according to the spokesman of the Ministry of Interior.

So the ISI's current proto-caliph, Abu Bakr al-Husseini al-Qureishi al-Baghdadi, is allegedly Dr. Ibrahim Awad Ibrahim al-Samara'i ("Abu Du'a'"), while the 'Minister of War' who goes by the pseudonym Al-Nassir Li Din Allah Suleiman is allegedly Nu'man Salman Mansour al-Zaidi ("Abu Ibrahim", formerly the ISI's "vali" for Anbar).

Al-Zawi also revealed that, just like Abu Omar al-Baghdadi, al-Samara'i and al-Zaidi were formerly detained by the Americans, specifically in Bucca Camp, and then released. There is a very significant pattern of how many active and captured terrorists in Iraq are former detainees that were released in the past two years without being transfered to Iraqi jurisdiction. One needs to ask, why were they released? Who was responsible for such decisions? Why were such decisions taken? But who are we kidding, when was the last time anyone was held accountable for their major blunders in Iraq?

It should be noted that most of this recent tranche of info on the ISI seems to be coming from the break-up by the Ministry of Interior of an important terrorist cell active in Baghdad, which was responsible for planning many of the major terrorist operations of recent memory, including last month's church attack. One should take note that while these terror acts got plenty of ink in US papers, the arrest of this cell was hardly reported: two short paragraphs in the New York Times, one paragraph in the Washington Post.

Now I know that I've been away for a while from this blog, but it's not like I didn't give you a head's up that it would wind down as I busy myself with other things. There are instances when I wanted to write again; for example, I wanted to remind you folks of the British-led intelligence cell that was negotiating with Iraqi insurgents that I used to write about; this is relevant when measured against the British blunder of believing an Afghan shopkeeper's scam of being a major figure in Taliban, revealed last month.

But frankly, these things don't rile me up as much as they used to, and hence my indifference to this blog: Iraq is fine. It is prospering. Anyone who goes there can see it. There's no more debate as far as I'm concerned. The foreign bureaus can BS all they want--it makes absolutely no difference.

I will begin to write anew, as promised, as other places in the Middle East begin to tremor and come apart.

184 Comments:

Anonymous Amagi said...

Nibras,

Yes, you did give us fair warning, but the lack of credible news is still frustrating. I would very much like your analysis of the government formation process, even if it is only a paragraph. Even if it is only a sentence!

From where I sit it looks like all that is being created is a large system of patronage that has little indication it will ever represent the body politic in any meaningful way. Can we count on fair elections being held on time in the future?

In any case, it is good to finally hear from you!

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Obviously bloody Kadhmawis still haven't figured out replying to emails..

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thanks Nibras.

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Blogger Don Cox said...

Dangerous men were released not only from Bucca but also from Guantamo Bay. I think it was the result of pressure from the anti-war movement, agitating about the imprisonment of "innocent civilians".

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Anonymous gj said...

Dear Nibras

All very well Nibras but as I recall last year you accepted a bet with me on Maliki surviving as PM!

I have been waiting patiently for him to take office, just so I could collect on the bet? Nothing in Iraqi politics happens in a hurry, but it seems Maliki is not far off becoming PM.

I will claim as my prize a photograph taken and signed by you of your favorite shrine that I can leave to my children and descendants for posterity!

Is this okay?

cheers gj.

3:00 PM, December 06, 2010

 
Anonymous Monogram Idylle said...

All very well Nibras but as I recall last year you accepted a bet with me on Maliki surviving as PM!

1:24 AM, December 07, 2010

 
Blogger Nibras Kazimi نبراس الكاظمي said...

Hi guys, glad to see that you're still checking out this blog. Kind of puts more pressure on me to keep it alive. Kind of.

Dear gj, I don't make it a habit to keep my word; quite the drain on my time and finances. But in your case, should it come to it (...it ain't over until the fat president ratifies it), then I will make an exception. But choosing my favorite shrine. That will be a hard call. Never thought about it.

Best,

Nibras

9:02 AM, December 07, 2010

 
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Yea, funny stuff that Monogram expected a Rafidi to keep his word

2:33 PM, December 07, 2010

 
Anonymous Jonny B Bad said...

Good to have you back Nibras. Your insightful comments are, as always, greatly appreciated. Please keep the informed punditry coming! As Iraq prospers (for which we all keep everything crossed) - it will become even more interesting to have you sharing your thoughts. Many many more interesting tales to tell and names who have cropped up in the past appearing in interesting places and positions I am sure! Thanks again.

12:33 AM, December 08, 2010

 
Anonymous gj said...

Dear Nibras

Here in Australia we take bets very seriously, heh, heh. So am glad/relieved you will not welch! If it helps we could narrow it down to your favorite photo taken in Iraq....

but as you say, we wait on the fat president ...

Re your blog - Kazimi deprivation wouldn't be so bad if you were still writing columns elsewhere. As you would know, the western commentariat is still mourning the downfall of the Baath and we liberation luvvies have no-one left to turn to.

gj

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所以要做領檯相對的外在條件不能輸給公關!!
再來就是手挽要好 有機會上到檯就必須讓客人留住你。
領檯不需要玩 因為會點領檯的客人也知道領檯只有單純陪酒,上的好一個月領比公關多也不是問題 平均大概十幾萬!!領台一節大約130~140(10分鐘為一節)。便服店的領台因只需帶位 月薪約在3~4萬左右 工作單純但是職缺不多!!要靠關係才能進去!!(如皇親國戚在當總經理等等)
如今現在(禮服店)完全取代了領檯這個角色
1: 禮服店不需要與制服店公關同檯
2: 禮服店所有小姐都一樣一視同人,自我打扮/服裝自由搭配,好與不好各憑本事
3: 禮服店 (不用脫衣/不用秀舞)
4: 禮服店薪資1節10分鐘170元~190元 大幅調漲 因應市場機制
總結:
1.這行就是外表的行業 時常調整自己到最佳狀況 才是面對競爭的不二法門 不怕被其他人比下去^^
2.其實消費者來這 並非要敢玩的女生坐在旁 有時因為要應酬客戶所以來這 他們要的重點是包廂氣氛 熱絡開心最重要,也很多消費者只要酒店小姐在旁倒酒聊心事
3.至於收入多少 當然有基本的先天條件 如:女人外在條件的比例/談吐/氣質/身材 等等
4依照我們的多年經驗 還是取決自己的態度和決心,畢竟這是人的生意 是必須經營的
5.來這行的消費者主力 多為28~45歲左右 因此他們看女人的角度是不同的 因此打扮還是多少花時間去調整喔


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千萬不要亂簽名!一名女子日前中獎500元發票,但由於沒有帶身分證的緣故,只能下次再去領,沒想到超市店員見狀後,頻頻以公司程序為由,要求女子簽名,事隔將近一個月,女子再去領的時候,發現中獎發票竟然不見了,這才驚覺事情大條了!
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Anonymous Anonymous said...

眼睛出現7大症狀是青光眼前兆...紅眼、看到光暈別拖! 一張表自我檢查危險指數40歲的王小姐每天快樂上下班,一點也看不出她是病史長達十幾年的青光眼患者。王小姐雖然被診斷有青光眼時,視野缺損已相當明顯,令她心裡覺得非常恐慌,但是她還是決定以積極樂觀的態度面對疾病,遵從醫囑,雙眼接受青光眼手 術後,酒店坐檯多年來持續按時回診追蹤病情;不僅視力保持良好,視野缺損範圍也沒有擴大。

青光眼是全球導致眼盲的第二殺手 視神經受損難恢復

青光眼科醫師劉瑞玲表示,青光眼是全球導致眼盲的第二殺手,僅次於白內障,但白內障可透過小切口超音波乳化術合併人工水晶體植入術的治療,恢復視力, 反觀一旦因青光眼而傷及視神經,即使再積極開刀治療,可能也難以挽回視力,最後導致失明。
在台灣,16.2%失明者是因青光眼而起,男女各半。若以年齡區分,20~39歲年輕人約占 10%,40~59歲中壯年約占25%,年逾60歲則占60%以上;不過,實際到青光眼科門診就醫的人數,僅占青光眼病患實際人數的17%,換句話說,還有高達25萬以上的青光眼患者並不知道自己已罹病,或是雖知罹病卻仍未採取任何醫療行為,就因如此,20%以上青光眼病患初診時,視神經已出現嚴重損壞,增加治療上的困難度。

眼科醫師呂大文指出,青光眼的可怕在於大多數患者罹病時並無明顯症狀,當察覺自己視力可能受到影響時,視神經通常已經受損40% 以上。
青光眼常伴隨的症狀有: 1.在光源週圍看見光圈、2.隧道型視覺(視野變窄)、3.紅眼、4.眼睛看起來混濁、5.噁心或嘔吐、6.眼睛疼痛、7.突然的眼睛疼痛伴隨噁心或嘔吐,可能警示眼壓嚴重升高,發生這些症狀應立即就醫。

更糟的是,青光眼屬於不可逆性的疾病,任何手術或藥物治療,都無法恢復已受損的視神經,頂多只能讓病情不繼續惡化下去而已;根據統計,10%青光眼患者即使接受各項積極性的治療,還是無法避免病情惡化。

就因為青光眼總是躲在暗處攻擊,除了最基礎的視力、眼壓檢測外,還包括眼底鏡檢查及視野檢查。經檢查疑似青光眼患者,則應每3個月定期回診一次;呂大文特別提醒,父母等直系血親有人罹患青光眼的人,罹患青光眼的機率是一般人的9∼13 倍,這些人年滿18歲後,更應主動接受受檢查。



濫用眼藥水恐傷及眼睛 預防青光眼這樣做

一旦確診為青光眼,症狀較輕的可用藥水或雷射治療;症狀較重的,可接受青光眼濾過手術, 把過多房水排到眼球外面,降低眼壓。不過,大多數青光眼用藥都有毒性,點藥雖是必要之惡,一定要用,卻也不要濫用。

呂大文透露,有些患者擔心青光眼症狀惡化,拚命點 藥,結果傷及角膜上皮組織而引發角膜炎,眼睛刺痛、發紅。

面對如此可怕的青光眼,呂大文強調,一定要從預防著手,比如盡可能少點含類固醇眼藥水、糖尿病或高血壓等慢性病患者應控制病情,以及有青光眼家族史者應定期接受視力、眼壓及眼底視神經等檢查,否則一旦延遲診斷及治療 ,恐怕只有失明的份。


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Anonymous Anonymous said...

霍金發現什麼?為何警告人類離開地球
73
三立新聞網
更新時間: 2021年2月2日 週二 下午10:34·2 分鐘 (閱讀時間)
國際中心/綜合報導
霍金這個名字,相信大家都不陌生!他是現代最偉大的物理學家之一,主要研究領域是宇宙論和黑洞,酒店打工
對人類在宇宙知識的探索有著巨大貢獻;不過,讓人不解的是,這位偉大的科學家生前曾經警告過人類,要盡快離開地球,這是為什麼呢?

霍金認為地球的資源總有一天會被耗盡,人類要盡快想出解決辦法。(示意圖/翻攝自pixabay)
史蒂芬·威廉·霍金(Stephen William Hawking,1942年1月8日-2018年3月14日)是20世紀享有國際盛譽的偉人之一,然而天妒英才,1963年,霍金21歲時患上肌肉萎縮性側索硬化症,全身癱瘓,不能言語,手部只有三根手指可以活動;當時,醫生曾診斷身患絕症的他只能活兩年,可他一直堅強地活了下來。並提出了黑洞蒸發理論和無邊界的霍金宇宙模型,為人類做出了重大貢獻。

霍金是現代最偉大的物理學家之一。(圖/翻攝自維基百科)
然而,最令人震驚的是,2017年11月,霍金預言,稱人類可能在2600年就會滅絕。如此偉大的科學家,會說出這樣的論調,必然有他的道理;霍金認為,隨著地球人口增長,能源消耗將會增加,地球將變成一個「熊熊燃燒的火球」。霍金認為,要擺脫這場災難,只能去尋找一個適合人類生存的星球。他還稱,「人類如果還想把自己的存在延長100萬年的話,就要無畏地去往自己從未去過的地方。」

霍金指出,人類要無畏地去探索從未去過的地方。(示意圖/翻攝自pixabay)
霍金的預言,得到許多科學家的認同,像近些年來越來越少的森林植被、被污染的河流海洋、滅絕的動植物、全球氣候暖化、北極冰塊融化,類似的環境問題層出不窮;按照霍金的說法,如果人類不加以節制,將來地球會變成一個「熊熊燃燒的火球」; 因此,人類就要去尋找一個適合人類居住的星球,這也是為什麼霍金要警告人類離開地球,因為如果再放任生態繼續遭到無情的破壞,地球將變成不適合人類居住;為了我們後代子孫著想,從現在起全人類都要一起做好環保、保護地球。

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